{"id":2889,"date":"2023-09-26T17:08:44","date_gmt":"2023-09-26T09:08:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/?p=2889"},"modified":"2023-09-26T17:08:44","modified_gmt":"2023-09-26T09:08:44","slug":"the-chinese-real-estate-bubble-burst-in-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/2023\/09\/the-chinese-real-estate-bubble-burst-in-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"The Chinese Real Estate Bubble Burst in 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<span class=\"span-reading-time rt-reading-time\" style=\"display: block;\"><span class=\"rt-label rt-prefix\">Reading Time : <\/span> <span class=\"rt-time\"> 2<\/span> <span class=\"rt-label rt-postfix\">minutes<\/span><\/span><h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\">China&#8217;s real estate bubble burst in 2023, and it is doing more damage than official data suggests <sup>[1]<\/sup>. The bursting of the Chinese property bubble has created a bigger problem, as the fallout from debt-laden developers and sinking sales spreads <sup>[4]<\/sup>. The real estate sector is a systemic problem, and until it is addressed and resolved, there can be no permanent stabilization of China&#8217;s property market or its economy more generally <sup>[6]<\/sup>. The slower pace of home sales meant less cash flow for China&#8217;s highly leveraged real estate developers, like Evergrande, setting the stage for a crisis <sup>[2]<\/sup>.<\/h3>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2897\" src=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"666\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub1.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub1-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub1-768x511.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Maintaining a healthy housing market is crucial for China, as it represents the most important asset for Chinese households <sup>[2]<\/sup>. A PBoC survey of urban households conducted in 2019 revealed that the value of housing composed 59 percent of households&#8217; total assets, while mortgage loans stood at 12 percent of total assets <sup>[2]<\/sup>. These figures are similar to the United States in 2008 on the eve of the subprime mortgage crisis and Japan in the 1980s before its real estate bubble burst <sup>[2]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2898\" src=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"667\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub4.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub4-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub4-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub4-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The fallout from China&#8217;s real estate crisis is spreading, and home prices are falling, developers are defaulting, and people are angry <sup>[5]<\/sup>. However, China&#8217;s crash is unlikely to hurt the global economy much <sup>[3]<\/sup>. Lower prices put more pressure on real estate companies and also on the Chinese economy, but it is unlikely to cause a global financial crisis <sup>[3]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2899\" src=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"745\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub5.png 1000w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub5-600x447.png 600w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub5-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/bub5-768x572.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><em>China&#8217;s real estate bubble burst in 2023, and it is doing more damage than official data suggests. The real estate sector is a systemic problem, and until it is addressed and resolved, there can be no permanent stabilization of China&#8217;s property market or its economy more generally. Maintaining a healthy housing market is crucial for China, as it represents the most important asset for Chinese households. The fallout from China&#8217;s real estate crisis is spreading, but it is unlikely to cause a global financial crisis.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Citations<\/strong>:<br \/>\n[1] <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2023\/08\/17\/china-home-sales-worse-than-official-data-real-estate-crisis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/fortune.com\/2023\/08\/17\/china-home-sales-worse-than-official-data-real-estate-crisis\/<\/a><br \/>\n[2] <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/blog\/pboc-props-chinas-housing-market\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/blog\/pboc-props-chinas-housing-market<\/a><br \/>\n[3] <a href=\"https:\/\/www.noahpinion.blog\/p\/chinas-crash-is-unlikely-to-hurt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.noahpinion.blog\/p\/chinas-crash-is-unlikely-to-hurt<\/a><br \/>\n[4] <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/08\/20\/business\/china-property-crisis-country-garden.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/08\/20\/business\/china-property-crisis-country-garden.html<\/a><br \/>\n[5] <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-09-14\/china-economic-crisis-2023-what-real-estate-market-collapse-means-for-world\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-09-14\/china-economic-crisis-2023-what-real-estate-market-collapse-means-for-world<\/a><br \/>\n[6] <a href=\"https:\/\/carnegieendowment.org\/chinafinancialmarkets\/87751\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/carnegieendowment.org\/chinafinancialmarkets\/87751<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_2681\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2681\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2681\" src=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Ben-footer-new-1000.png\" alt=\"B\u00e9n\u00e9dicte Lin \u2013 Brussels, Paris, London, Seoul, Tokyo, New York, Taipei\" width=\"1000\" height=\"379\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Ben-footer-new-1000.png 1000w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Ben-footer-new-1000-600x227.png 600w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Ben-footer-new-1000-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Ben-footer-new-1000-768x291.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-2681\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">B\u00e9n\u00e9dicte Lin \u2013 Brussels, Paris, London, Seoul, Tokyo, New York, Taipei<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"span-reading-time rt-reading-time\" style=\"display: block;\"><span class=\"rt-label rt-prefix\">Reading Time : <\/span> <span class=\"rt-time\"> 2<\/span> <span class=\"rt-label rt-postfix\">minutes<\/span><\/span>China&#8217;s real estate bubble burst in 2023, and it is doing more damage than official data suggests [1]. The bursting of the<\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a class=\"myButt \" href=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/2023\/09\/the-chinese-real-estate-bubble-burst-in-2023\/\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2896,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[30,67],"tags":[107,19,168,32,4,94,101],"class_list":["post-2889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-entreprise-strategy","category-wealthytalks","tag-107","tag-benedicte","tag-economy","tag-entreprise-strategy","tag-gout-design","tag-money","tag-real-estate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2889","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2889"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2889\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2905,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2889\/revisions\/2905"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2889"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2889"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2889"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}