{"id":10903,"date":"2026-08-10T15:51:45","date_gmt":"2026-08-10T07:51:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/?p=10903"},"modified":"2026-08-10T15:51:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-10T07:51:45","slug":"did-china-break-asias-flying-geese-development-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/2026\/08\/did-china-break-asias-flying-geese-development-model\/","title":{"rendered":"Did China Break Asia\u2019s Flying Geese Development Model?"},"content":{"rendered":"<span class=\"span-reading-time rt-reading-time\" style=\"display: block;\"><span class=\"rt-label rt-prefix\">Reading Time : <\/span> <span class=\"rt-time\"> 2<\/span> <span class=\"rt-label rt-postfix\">minutes<\/span><\/span><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">For half a century, Asia\u2019s industrial ascent seemed to follow a predictable pattern. Japan moved from labor-intensive textiles into more advanced manufacturing, allowing production to shift toward Korea. Korea later followed a similar path, as factories moved into China. By the 2010s, China\u2019s rising wages appeared to create the next opening for Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia, and India. This was the logic behind the Flying Geese Model, in which each rising economy made room for the next country in line.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10904\" src=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z2-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"574\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z2-1.png 1000w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z2-1-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z2-1-768x441.png 768w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z2-1-600x344.png 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">China, however, has complicated that progression. As wages increased, it did not simply abandon textiles, toys, footwear, furniture, and basic machinery. Instead, it preserved those industries while expanding into electric vehicles, batteries, solar technology, robotics, telecommunications, artificial intelligence, and advanced manufacturing. The result is an unusually broad industrial base that combines low-cost production, sophisticated technology, dense supplier networks, state-backed finance, and the purchasing power of a vast domestic market.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10905\" src=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z3-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"667\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z3-2.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z3-2-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z3-2-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z3-2-600x400.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The consequences are spreading across Asia. Chinese exports can arrive at prices that local manufacturers struggle to match, especially when competitors lack comparable infrastructure, scale, subsidies, or supply chains. Production has certainly moved into Southeast Asia and South Asia, but China often remains connected to those factories as a supplier, investor, equipment maker, or parent company. The question is therefore not whether factories moved, but whether they moved far enough to create independent industrial ecosystems elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10906\" src=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z4-7.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z4-7.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z4-7-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z4-7-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/z4-7-600x338.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">That distinction matters most for India. The country still has an opportunity in apparel, footwear, electronics assembly, chemicals, auto components, and other labor-intensive sectors. Yet inexpensive workers alone are no longer enough. India will need dependable power, efficient ports, stronger logistics, easier regulations, competitive input costs, and deeper integration with global trade. China may not have ended <em><strong>the Flying Geese Model<\/strong><\/em>, but it has made the next stage of industrialization far more demanding.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_8029\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8029\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-8029\" src=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Ben-footer-jul2024.jpg\" alt=\"B\u00e9n\u00e9dicte Lin \u2013 Brussels, Paris, London, Beijing, Seoul, Bangkok, Tokyo, New York, Taipei, Hong Kong\" width=\"1000\" height=\"379\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Ben-footer-jul2024.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Ben-footer-jul2024-600x227.jpg 600w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Ben-footer-jul2024-300x114.jpg 300w, https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Ben-footer-jul2024-768x291.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-8029\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">B\u00e9n\u00e9dicte Lin \u2013 Brussels, Paris, London, Beijing, Seoul, Bangkok, Tokyo, New York, Taipei, Hong Kong<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>#China #Manufacturing #Asia #India #IndustrialPolicy #GlobalTrade #SupplyChains #EconomicDevelopment<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"span-reading-time rt-reading-time\" style=\"display: block;\"><span class=\"rt-label rt-prefix\">Reading Time : <\/span> <span class=\"rt-time\"> 2<\/span> <span class=\"rt-label rt-postfix\">minutes<\/span><\/span>China\u2019s manufacturing rise appears to challenge the traditional Flying Geese Model, but the evidence suggests a more complicated story. Low-cost production has moved elsewhere, even as China preserves powerful industrial ecosystems and expands into advanced sectors. The real question is not whether China ended Asia\u2019s development path, but whether other countries can still climb it successfully in the decades ahead.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10908,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[374,30,194,67],"tags":[589,234,19,217,165,228,4],"class_list":["post-10903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","category-entreprise-strategy","category-finance","category-wealthytalks","tag-589","tag-asia","tag-benedicte","tag-china","tag-finance","tag-geopolitics","tag-gout-design"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10903","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10903"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10903\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10907,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10903\/revisions\/10907"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10908"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10903"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10903"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goutanddesign.com\/wpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10903"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}